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deskgameBuffalo did lose to Baltimore and Houston in Weeks 5 and 6, but has since rebounded to win six consecutive games, capped by this week’s impressive victory over the Chiefs. None of the five teams they beat before KC have winning records, but winners beat who they are supposed to beat, and the win against Kansas City proved that the Bills were simply not fattening up on low-level competition. deskgameThe conditions are a consideration for this prop play. The advance forecast at nflweather.com points to a 90 percent chance of rain with 16 mph wind gusts. The game-time temperature forecast is 51 degrees, and as noted by the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa has a 1-8 record in games 50 degrees or lower, which is obviously not far off from the projected temperature. deskgameThe Wolverines score an average of four points per first quarter, and they meet a stout Alabama defense that allows a measly two points across the opening 15 minutes. deskgameThe spread is just too large, as the Knicks have yet to hit their collective stride, especially on defense. Brooklyn had an over/under win total of only 19.5 in the preseason on DraftKings Sportsbook, yet has been more competitive than expected so far this season.